Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 159.053108 188.338171 224.348065 272.898545 338.318882 4.260872e+02 5.578403e+02
2024-12-15 121.350966 155.041382 201.720551 274.556950 392.794841 5.940053e+02 1.013181e+03
2024-12-22 99.123222 131.922057 180.480716 263.127950 414.514504 7.208098e+02 1.568475e+03
2024-12-29 89.996424 124.411945 178.684410 279.453490 489.582884 1.012128e+03 3.193392e+03
2025-01-05 78.765401 111.308262 164.576024 268.912158 505.672375 1.188589e+03 5.305706e+03
2025-01-12 71.986179 103.987701 158.384235 271.054240 551.576086 1.518358e+03 1.183676e+04
2025-01-19 65.600839 96.312171 150.008827 266.109128 577.574626 1.833547e+03 2.925531e+04
2025-01-26 63.774571 95.987539 154.835274 291.154064 706.232141 2.970124e+03 2.335388e+06
2025-02-02 63.695512 98.624843 165.771382 334.880678 943.068124 6.373172e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 59.489631 93.197963 159.397070 332.278998 1003.955341 8.965019e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 56.492435 89.671927 156.426551 338.225519 1113.829420 1.502525e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 53.688028 86.197484 153.004418 341.914652 1222.141310 2.719657e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 50.439536 81.912774 147.990878 342.239613 1338.363642 6.339393e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 47.631474 78.263677 144.016436 345.411169 1494.965090 2.994077e+05 NaN
2025-03-16 44.154760 72.910776 135.220240 329.485834 1493.254144 1.039251e+06 NaN
2025-03-23 42.992956 72.122257 137.183259 352.218541 1877.047762 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 40.228595 67.751364 129.694627 337.516284 1880.475732 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 38.505824 65.408092 126.972533 340.496651 2103.283371 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 36.548302 62.400335 122.154424 333.621925 2201.543927 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 36.304562 63.024853 126.849262 368.641356 3107.637666 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 36.732394 65.155311 136.043208 430.958997 5456.674124 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 35.189202 62.725959 132.093066 427.210312 6054.972199 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 34.082139 61.200178 130.543328 435.785959 7442.962426 NaN NaN